Exhibitor Notes & Boxoffice Estimate - SUPERMAN (PG13)

Published Jul 10, 2025

Synopsis

Distributed By: Warner Bros | Release Date: 7/11/25 | Run Time: 129 Minutes

Adventure. When Superman gets drawn into conflicts at home and abroad, his actions are questioned, giving tech billionaire Lex Luthor the opportunity to get the Man of Steel out of the way for good....…David Corenswet, Rachel Brosnahan, Nicholas Hoult, Nathan Fillion

Screening Notes

Most notably, this version of Superman is more than just a reboot — it’s a welcome reset for moviegoers. The visual style is vibrant and modern, and the humor is clever and playful without slipping into snark or goofiness — a refreshing shift from the darker, more complex tone we’ve come to associate with the DC Universe (let’s be honest, no one walks out of a Batman movie feeling hopeful). And given that this is a James Gunn-directed film, think Guardians of the Galaxy with capes — same balance of fun, heart, and ensemble energy. Corenswet’s Superman is immensely likable, and the chemistry with Brosnahan’s Lois Lane is genuinely warm and witty. Hoult is a good villain and Fillion is entertaining. The movie’s messaging is simple…being “good” still matters.

Boxoffice Estimate

By the numbers, Superman remains one of the world’s most recognizable superheroes — ranked third globally behind Spider-Man and Batman, based on a combination of Google search volume and fan polls. Since his debut in 1948, there have been 10 live-action Superman films and 10 distinct TV series dating back to 1952. Superman IS the original superhero, and that legacy shows in the strong NRG awareness and “want to see” scores leading into opening weekend. Both Critic and Audience scores are expected to land in the 90+ range.

Modeling suggests an $111M opening weekend, with a range between $100M and $123M range…appropriately similar to Guardians of the Galaxy 3 ($118M).  I have to point out that many industry analysts are circling around the $135M to $150M range --- I’m obviously rooting for them, but comfortable staying the course with more conservative expectations. With an estimated 2.6x multiple, projections land the film’s domestic total in the $258M to $315M range. If those numbers hold, the opening will rank as the 3^rd highest of the year, behind Minecraft ($163M) and Lilo & Stitch ($146M), and outperform the average July PG13 opening by +135%.

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