Exhibitor Notes & Boxoffice Estimate - KARATE KID: LEGENDS (PG13)

Published May 20, 2025

Distributed By: Sony | Release Date: 5/30/25 | Run Time: 118 Minutes

Family. After moving to New York City with his mother, kung fu prodigy Li Fong struggles to let go of the past as he tries to fit in with his new classmates. When a new friend needs his help, Li enters a karate competition -- but his skills alone aren't enough.…Ben Wang, Jackie Chan, Ralph Macchio, Sadie Stanley

Screening Notes

Karate Kid Legends delivers exactly what moviegoers want to keep a promising summer on track: a feel-good, legacy sequel that honors its roots and confidently moves the franchise forward. Ben Wang delivers a strong breakout moment; he is instantly likeable and feels right at home in this franchise. Ralph Macchio provides the nostalgia that longtime fans crave, and who doesn’t like Jackie Chan!  This latest installement would make Mr. Miyagi proud…it’s the best entry in the franchise since the original.

Boxoffice Estimate

1984 was a year of iconic films…the top 5 at the boxoffice were Beverly Hills Cop, Ghostbusters, Temple of Doom, Gremlins, and Karate Kid. The original Karate Kid opened to $5M, which in today’s dollars equals $15M. This may seem low, but it opened on only 930 screens, yielding a $16,500 average per screen…the same as Mission: Impossible Final Reckoning.

Karate Kid Legends arrives as the perfect follow-up to last weekend’s strong performers, Lilo & Stitch and Mission: Impossible, which helped deliver a record-breaking Memorial Weekend. Like recent revivals such as Twisters, The Fall Guy, Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire, and Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny, Legends offers “four-quandrant” demographic appeal, familiar IP, and a feel-good story that brings generations together. This is the kind of family-fun film that checks all the boxes for success.

Still, the release schedule is VERY competitive. Lilo & Stitch enters its 2nd week and How to Train Your Dragon is circling just 2 weeks later. Current projection modeling points to a $32M opening, with a likely range between $28M and $35M. The competitive landscape will likely temper the multiple to around 2.6x, landing the film between $75M and $92M in domestic total. If true, the opening weekend will closely align with the average title opening in June over the past 9-years but fall about 25% short of the norm for PG13 titles. Looking to the comparative set of titles, Karate Kid Legends lands somewhere between Fall Guy and Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire.

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