Exhibitor Notes & Boxoffice Estimate - BIG BOLD BEAUTIFUL JOURNEY (R)

Published Sep 10, 2025

Synopsis

Distributed By: Sony | Release Date: 9/19/25 | Run Time: 139 Minutes

Romance | Drama. Through a surprising twist of fate, single strangers Sarah and David get to relive important moments from their respective pasts, illuminating how they got to where they are in the present…Margot Robbie, Colin Farrell

Screening Notes

Big Bold Beautiful Journey isn’t quite the romantic comedy its trailer suggests. Yes, there’s romance and, yes, there is humor, but the film goes quite a bit deeper and less about “will they or won’t they” of a simple rom/com plot and more about what it means to be in a meaningful relationship. One of the things that struck me most was how much the film plays like a stage production—dialogue-heavy, carefully staged scenes, and performances that invite the audience to lean in and listen rather than sit back and coast like most rom/coms…not a bad thing at all, just unexpected.  In short, this isn’t a movie for audiences chasing big laughs or flashy set pieces, but for moviegoers — particularly adults 30+ who gravitate toward dramas, book adaptations, and love stage plays — it’s a very rewarding experience. [the R-rating is for language only…the result of few F-bombs]

Boxoffice Estimate

Although this is Margot Robbie’s first outing since the hyper-successful Barbie, the film will likely not have huge broad market draw but will play very well with 30+ adults who like character-driven dramas…grosses will definitely get a nice boost by positive word-of-mouth and there just may be the possibility of some award season buzz down the road.

National Research Group (NRG) tracking currently reflects a 45 Awareness score and a 4 First-Choice rating. Based on comps from over 300 recent releases, those numbers suggest an opening weekend in the $10M to $15M range.  I do expect the film to earn very favorable Critic and Audience Scores.

My modeling suggests a $12M opening weekend, with a range between $10M and $13M; an estimated 2.9x multiple, should land the film’s domestic total in the $31M to $38M range.

Click To Watch Trailer !